Trend Signal Intelligence

Find the signal
before it becomes
the story.

By the time a keyword appears on Google Trends, the opportunity has already closed. Chending detects the pre-explosion phase — when no one else is looking.

The core problem
Traditional tools

You're reading yesterday's news

Google Trends, Exploding Topics, Semrush — they show you trends after they've been validated by millions of searches. The "Breakout" label means the race is already over.

Months 0–4 → Invisible (below detection threshold)
Month 4–6 → Community buzz, early movers enter
Month 6 → Google Trends "Breakout" fires
Month 6–12 → Press coverage, mainstream entry
Month 12+ → Market saturation, margins compress
Chending approach

Detect the signal before the noise

Cross-platform signal aggregation reads Reddit threads, HN discussions, GitHub repos, and Wikipedia traffic spikes — the sources where trends are born, not confirmed.

Month 0 → PES S-grade fires ← Chending detects here
Month 1–2 → Multi-platform rising signal
Month 2–4 → BEI momentum builds
Month 4–6 → You're already positioned
Month 6+ → Google calls it "Breakout"
The opportunity window

6 months of invisible growth.
That's your edge.

Every breakout trend has a silent phase. Here's what the lifecycle actually looks like — and where Chending puts you on that curve.

NOW
Chending
S-grade signal
+1–2 MO
Reddit & HN
discussion
+4–5 MO
Google Trends
"Breakout"
+6 MO
Press &
media coverage
+8–12 MO
Market
saturation

The window between first signal and mainstream awareness is typically 4–8 months. This is when first-mover advantage is still available — before capital floods in, before every competitor pivots.

The hunting workflow

4 steps to find the
next explosion.

A repeatable system for extracting pre-explosion candidates from noise. Run this weekly and you'll never miss another signal.

01
Radar Tab

Sort by Grade, not by volume

Open Radar → click the Grade column header to sort descending. Focus on S and A grade keywords. These have a Pre-Explosion Score ≥ 40 — meaning the algorithm detected unusual velocity before mainstream search volume caught up.

Grade S = PES ≥ 60 Grade A = PES ≥ 40 Ignore Grade C unless YoY > 200%
Go to Radar →
02
Signal Panel

Confirm across platforms

Click any keyword row to expand the signal panel. A single-platform signal is noise. Multi-platform rising = confirmation. If Reddit + HN + GitHub are all rising simultaneously, you're looking at a real signal propagating through the ecosystem.

3+ platforms rising = strong 1–2 platforms = watch All no_data = niche, not timing
Check any keyword →
03
Discover Tab

Find what isn't being tracked yet

The Radar only shows keywords already in the system. Hit ⚡ Run Discovery weekly to scan Reddit, HN, GitHub, and Wikipedia for emerging terms that haven't entered any trend tool's radar — including ours. These are the true pre-discovery candidates.

Score ≥ 70 = add immediately Score 40–70 = watch Run every Monday morning
Open Discover →
04
Alerts + Watchlist

Let the system alert you

You can't watch 1500 keywords daily. Star your best candidates in Watchlist, then set a PES alert threshold in Alerts. When a keyword crosses your threshold, you get notified — so you act at the moment of signal, not weeks later.

Threshold ≥ 40 = early entry Threshold ≥ 60 = high conviction Check Alerts tab daily (30s)
Set up alerts →
Reading the grades

Two dimensions.
One composite score.

Every keyword is graded on Early Warning (are we early?) and Growth Momentum (is it actually accelerating?). Both matter.

Early Warning Grade — PES (Pre-Explosion Score)

S PES ≥ 60 — Strong pre-explosion signal. Unusual velocity detected across multiple dimensions before search volume confirmed it. Act now. Window is narrow.
A PES 40–59 — Early signal, not yet confirmed. Worth tracking closely. Monitor weekly.
B PES 20–39 — Weak signal or early-stage. Could develop, could fade. Low priority unless sector-relevant.
C PES < 20 — No meaningful pre-explosion signal detected. Skip unless fundamentals are strong.

Growth Momentum Grade — BEI (Burst Explosion Index)

S BEI ≥ 50 and YoY ≥ 200% — Explosive trajectory confirmed. High velocity, breaking from baseline. Classic black swan shape. High conviction. Validate with signal panel.
A BEI ≥ 30 or YoY ≥ 100% — Strong upward momentum with measurable acceleration. Good entry point if EW grade is also A or S.
B YoY ≥ 30% and trend rising — Steady growth, not explosive. Consistent performer, not a black swan candidate.
C Flat or declining momentum. Trend may have already peaked. Likely too late or already fading.
Signal pattern recognition

What the platform signals
are actually telling you.

The expand panel shows signals from Reddit, HN, GitHub, Wikipedia, and X/Twitter. Here's how to read the pattern, not just the individual dots.

High Conviction
↑ Reddit ↑ HN ↑ GitHub ~ Wikipedia

Community discussion AND developer attention rising simultaneously. This is how technical trends look in their early phase — builders discover it before users do.

Act on this
Watch & Validate
↑ Reddit ─ HN ─ GitHub ─ Wikipedia

Community chatter on one platform only. Could be a genuine early signal, or it could be a small subreddit's temporary fascination. Needs time to propagate.

Watch weekly
Consumer Breakout
↑ Reddit ↑ Wikipedia ~ HN ─ GitHub

Consumer awareness spiking (Reddit + Wikipedia views) without developer interest. Classic consumer product or cultural trend pattern — not a tech trend.

Strong for consumer plays
Already Peaked
↓ Wikipedia ↓ GitHub ~ Reddit ─ HN

Interest and developer activity declining while community still mentions it. This is the late-cycle pattern — people still talking about it but builders have moved on.

Avoid new positions
Tech-Native Trend
↑ HN ↑ GitHub ─ Reddit ─ Wikipedia

Developer ecosystem buzzing, consumer world unaware. This is how deep tech trends start — 6–18 months before they hit mainstream consciousness. Ultra-early signal.

Ultra-early, high risk/reward
No Signal
─ Reddit ─ HN ─ GitHub ─ Wikipedia

Not a platform failure — it means the keyword is too niche, too localized, or not yet at any platform's threshold. Check back in 4 weeks. Or it's simply not real.

Wait or skip
Quick reference

The hunter's cheat sheet.

Best signal combination
EW Grade S/A
+ GM Grade A/S
+ 3+ platforms rising
When both grades are high and platforms confirm, you have the full picture. This is the setup to act on.
Weekly routine (15 min)
Mon: Run Discovery
Wed: Check Grade S/A
Fri: Review Alerts
Consistency beats intensity. 15 minutes three times a week catches the signals that matter.
Alert thresholds
PES ≥ 40 = early entry
PES ≥ 60 = high conviction
PES ≥ 80 = rare, act fast
PES 80+ happens <2% of the time. When it fires, it's worth serious attention.
YoY growth benchmarks
+50% = noticeable
+100% = strong growth
+200% = explosive
Year-over-year growth cuts through seasonal noise. 200%+ with a high PES is the classic pre-explosion shape.
What to ignore
Grade C, PES < 20
Single-platform only
YoY < 0%
Focus is a competitive advantage. Not every keyword is worth your attention. Grade C is background noise.
Red flags
Wikipedia falling
GitHub stars declining
Reddit mentions down
When all three move negative simultaneously, the trend is in terminal decline — regardless of what Google Trends still shows.

Stop watching trends.
Start finding them.

Open the Radar. Sort by Grade. Check the signals. You're 4 months ahead of everyone else.

Open Radar →